cbb·system

mens · season 2022

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.

end state cutoff 2022-04-05 teams rated 358 cutoffs in the walk 129
mens 2022: AdjPace for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsstart of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament1. Mississippi Valley State 2. Charleston 3. Cornell 4. Marshall 5. New Mexico1. Mississippi Valley State 2. Charleston 3. Marshall 4. Cornell 5. Arizona1. Mississippi Valley State 2. Charleston 3. Marshall 4. Cornell 5. Arizona1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. Cornell 4. Arizona 5. Mississippi Valley State1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. Cornell 4. Arizona 5. Eastern Kentucky1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. Cornell 4. Arizona 5. Long Beach State1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. Cornell 4. Arizona 5. Utah Tech1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. Arizona 4. New Mexico 5. Cornell1. Charleston 2. New Mexico 3. Marshall 4. Nebraska 5. Arizona1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. New Mexico 4. Cornell 5. Nebraska1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. New Mexico 4. Nebraska 5. Arizona1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. Arizona 4. New Mexico 5. Nebraska1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. Arizona 4. Nebraska 5. New Mexico1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. Arizona 4. Nebraska 5. St. John's1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. Arizona 4. Nebraska 5. Eastern Kentucky1. Charleston 2. Nebraska 3. Arizona 4. St. John's 5. Marshall1. Charleston 2. Nebraska 3. Arizona 4. Marshall 5. Mississippi Valley State1. Charleston 2. Nebraska 3. Arizona 4. Mississippi Valley State 5. Marshall1. Charleston 2. Nebraska 3. Arizona 4. Mississippi Valley State 5. Eastern Kentucky1. Charleston 2. Nebraska 3. St. John's 4. Marshall 5. Arizona1. Charleston 2. Nebraska 3. St. John's 4. Marshall 5. Eastern Kentucky1. Charleston 2. Nebraska 3. St. John's 4. Arizona 5. Marshall1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Marshall 4. Nebraska 5. Arizona1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Nebraska 4. Marshall 5. Arizona1. Charleston 2. Nebraska 3. St. John's 4. Marshall 5. Arizona1. Charleston 2. Nebraska 3. Marshall 4. St. John's 5. Arizona1. Charleston 2. Marshall 3. Gonzaga 4. St. John's 5. Nebraska1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Gonzaga 4. Arizona 5. Nebraska1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Gonzaga 4. Arizona 5. Marshall1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Gonzaga 4. Arizona 5. Nebraska1. Charleston 2. Gonzaga 3. St. John's 4. Nebraska 5. Arizona1. Charleston 2. Nebraska 3. Gonzaga 4. St. John's 5. Arizona1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Nebraska 4. Gonzaga 5. Arizona1. Charleston 2. Gonzaga 3. St. John's 4. Nebraska 5. Coppin State1. Charleston 2. Gonzaga 3. Nebraska 4. St. John's 5. Long Island University1. Charleston 2. Gonzaga 3. Nebraska 4. St. John's 5. Long Island University1. Charleston 2. Nebraska 3. Gonzaga 4. St. John's 5. Morgan State1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Nebraska 4. Gonzaga 5. Morgan State1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Gonzaga 4. Nebraska 5. Morgan State1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Nebraska 4. Gonzaga 5. Morgan State1. St. John's 2. Nebraska 3. Charleston 4. Gonzaga 5. Morgan State1. St. John's 2. Nebraska 3. Charleston 4. Bowling Green 5. Gonzaga1. St. John's 2. Nebraska 3. Bowling Green 4. Charleston 5. Gonzaga1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Bowling Green 4. Nebraska 5. Gonzaga1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Bryant 4. Bowling Green 5. Nebraska1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Bryant 4. Bowling Green 5. Morgan State1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Coppin State 4. Bryant 5. Morgan State1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Coppin State 4. Bryant 5. Gonzaga1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Coppin State 4. Morgan State 5. Gonzaga1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Morgan State 4. Gonzaga 5. Coppin State1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Long Island University 4. Gonzaga 5. Coppin State1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Gonzaga 4. Long Island University 5. Bryant1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Central Arkansas 4. Long Island University 5. Bowling Green1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Central Arkansas 4. Gonzaga 5. Long Island University1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Gonzaga 4. Central Arkansas 5. Long Island University1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Mississippi Valley State 4. Eastern Kentucky 5. Central Arkansas1. Charleston 2. St. John's 3. Bowling Green 4. Eastern Kentucky 5. Gonzaga1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Bowling Green 4. Bryant 5. Central Arkansas1. St. John's 2. Bowling Green 3. Charleston 4. Bryant 5. Gonzaga1. St. John's 2. Charleston 3. Bowling Green 4. Gonzaga 5. Bryant
AdjPace (possessions per game) across train_cutoff_at — 129 cutoffs from 2021-11-23 to 2022-04-05. Axis spans 64.92 to 81.38. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2022-01-28, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide
  • St. John's
  • Charleston
  • Gonzaga
  • Long Island University
  • Coppin State
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjPace Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 St. John's Red Storm 73.35 110 —
2 Charleston Cougars 73.08 110 —
3 Gonzaga Bulldogs 72.28 110 #1 Sweet 16 (out)
4 Long Island University Sharks 72.27 110 —
5 Coppin State Eagles 72.02 110 —
6 Marshall Thundering Herd 71.98 110 —
7 Morgan State Bears 71.95 110 —
8 Central Arkansas Bears 71.93 110 —
9 Bryant Bulldogs 71.91 110 #16 Play-in (out)
10 Bowling Green Falcons 71.84 110 —
11 Nebraska Cornhuskers 71.77 110 —
12 New Orleans Privateers 71.74 110 —
13 Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils 71.68 110 —
14 Arizona Wildcats 71.51 110 #1 Sweet 16 (out)
15 Eastern Kentucky Colonels 71.48 110 —
16 Alabama Crimson Tide 71.45 110 #6 Round of 64 (out)
17 UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 71.44 110 —
18 Cornell Big Red 71.24 110 —
19 Utah Tech Trailblazers 71.03 110 —
20 Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 70.99 110 —
21 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 70.96 110 —
22 Northwestern State Demons 70.93 110 —
23 New Mexico Lobos 70.91 110 —
24 Santa Clara Broncos 70.89 110 —
25 Long Beach State Beach 70.82 110 —

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2022-03-13) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.