mens · season 2021

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.

end state cutoff 2021-04-04 teams rated 347 cutoffs in the walk 110

AdjPace (possessions per game) across train_cutoff_at — 110 cutoffs from 2020-12-08 to 2021-04-04. Axis spans 67.96 to 88.80. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. The shortest drawn line covers 102 of the 110 cutoffs — a team enters the ratings only after it has played enough games, so early cutoffs have no line for it. The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2021-02-20, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide

Coppin State
Monmouth
Eastern Kentucky
Long Beach State
St. John's
20 more, drawn as grey context

Readout

Hover or tap a station to move this readout; it starts at the pre-tournament cutoff.

cutoff 2021-03-18 rated here 25 AdjPace pts / possession

1 Coppin State 76.469
2 Monmouth 75.308
3 Eastern Kentucky 75.071
4 Long Beach State 74.262
5 St. John's 74.173
6 Samford 74.004
7 Gonzaga 73.968
8 Georgia 73.733
9 South Carolina 73.656
10 Buffalo 73.596
11 Alabama 73.479
12 Saint Joseph's 73.266
13 New Orleans 73.199
14 Delaware State 72.988
15 Arkansas 72.770
16 Marshall 72.725
17 Houston Christian 72.640
18 Arizona State 72.593
19 Massachusetts 72.576
20 Bryant 72.541
21 The Citadel 72.499
22 Long Island University 72.456
23 Winthrop 72.403
24 Utah Tech 72.382
25 Oklahoma State 72.368

The top 25 going into the tournament

#	Team	AdjPace	Cutoffs rated	Postseason
1	Coppin State Eagles	76.47	97	—
2	Monmouth Hawks	75.31	90	—
3	Eastern Kentucky Colonels	75.07	97	—
4	Long Beach State Beach	74.26	97	—
5	St. John's Red Storm	74.17	97	—
6	Samford Bulldogs	74.00	97	—
7	Gonzaga Bulldogs	73.97	97	#1 Title game (out)
8	Georgia Bulldogs	73.73	97	—
9	South Carolina Gamecocks	73.66	97	—
10	Buffalo Bulls	73.60	97	—
11	Alabama Crimson Tide	73.48	97	#2 Sweet 16 (out)
12	Saint Joseph's Hawks	73.27	97	—
13	New Orleans Privateers	73.20	97	—
14	Delaware State Hornets	72.99	97	—
15	Arkansas Razorbacks	72.77	97	#3 Elite 8 (out)
16	Marshall Thundering Herd	72.73	97	—
17	Houston Christian Huskies	72.64	97	—
18	Arizona State Sun Devils	72.59	97	—
19	Massachusetts Minutemen	72.58	94	—
20	Bryant Bulldogs	72.54	97	—
21	The Citadel Bulldogs	72.50	97	—
22	Long Island University Sharks	72.46	89	—
23	Winthrop Eagles	72.40	97	#12 Round of 64 (out)
24	Utah Tech Trailblazers	72.38	97	—
25	Oklahoma State Cowboys	72.37	97	#4 Round of 32 (out)

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2021-03-18) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.