cbb·system

mens · season 2025

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.

end state cutoff 2025-04-08 teams rated 364 cutoffs in the walk 135
mens 2025: AdjPace for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsstart of the NCAA tournament — left of this line is pre-tournament1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. New Mexico 5. Indiana State1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. Indiana State 5. Tennessee State1. Alabama 2. Fresno State 3. Indiana State 4. Cal Poly 5. Tennessee State1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Winthrop 4. Tennessee State 5. Indiana State1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Winthrop 4. New Mexico 5. Indiana State1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Winthrop 4. New Mexico 5. Fresno State1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Winthrop 4. New Mexico 5. Indiana State1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Indiana State 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Winthrop 4. Indiana State 5. New Mexico1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Fresno State 4. Indiana State 5. Winthrop1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. Tennessee State 5. South Dakota1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. Tennessee State 5. South Dakota1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. New Mexico 5. South Dakota1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. South Dakota 5. New Mexico1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. Alabama A&M 5. Tennessee State1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. Tennessee State 5. Indiana State1. Alabama 2. South Dakota 3. Tennessee State 4. New Mexico 5. Fresno State1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Tennessee State 5. New Mexico1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. South Dakota 5. Tennessee State1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. New Mexico 5. South Dakota1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. Fresno State 4. Winthrop 5. South Dakota1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Winthrop 4. Fresno State 5. South Dakota1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Fresno State 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Fresno State 4. South Dakota 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. Fresno State 4. Winthrop 5. South Dakota1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Fresno State 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. Fresno State1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. Fresno State1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. Fresno State1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Fresno State 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. New Mexico 4. South Dakota 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. New Mexico 4. Winthrop 5. South Dakota1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. New Mexico1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. New Mexico1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. New Mexico1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Indiana State 5. Winthrop1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Indiana State 5. Winthrop1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. North Florida1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. New Mexico 5. Winthrop1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. New Mexico1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. UCF1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate1. Cal Poly 2. Alabama 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. South Carolina Upstate1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. New Mexico1. Alabama 2. Cal Poly 3. South Dakota 4. Winthrop 5. New Mexico
AdjPace (possessions per game) across train_cutoff_at — 135 cutoffs from 2025-01-24 to 2025-04-08. Axis spans 69.24 to 75.81. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. Warm-up: show · hidden
  • Alabama
  • Cal Poly
  • South Dakota
  • New Mexico
  • Winthrop
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjPace Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 74.63 115 #2 Elite 8 (out)
2 Cal Poly Mustangs 74.19 115 —
3 South Dakota Coyotes 73.51 115 —
4 New Mexico Lobos 72.16 115 #10 Round of 32 (out)
5 Winthrop Eagles 72.16 115 —
6 Indiana State Sycamores 72.10 115 —
7 North Florida Ospreys 71.88 115 —
8 Fresno State Bulldogs 71.84 115 —
9 South Carolina Upstate Spartans 71.81 115 —
10 Bryant Bulldogs 71.67 115 #15 Round of 64 (out)
11 UCF Knights 71.34 115 —
12 Cal State Northridge Matadors 71.08 115 —
13 Alabama A&M Bulldogs 70.94 115 —
14 UMBC Retrievers 70.65 115 —
15 Grand Canyon Lopes 70.57 115 #13 Round of 64 (out)
16 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 70.48 115 —
17 Samford Bulldogs 70.43 115 —
18 Oklahoma State Cowboys 70.42 115 —
19 Quinnipiac Bobcats 70.40 115 —
20 Morgan State Bears 70.35 115 —
21 Tennessee State Tigers 70.33 115 —
22 Mercer Bears 70.29 115 —
23 Charleston Cougars 70.27 115 —
24 Western Carolina Catamounts 70.14 115 —
25 Illinois Fighting Illini 70.14 115 #6 Round of 32 (out)

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2025-03-16) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.