cbb·system

womens · season 2020

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjDE — the lowest values, since a defence allows points rather than scoring them — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.

The NCAA championship game for womens 2020 has no result in the store, so the Postseason column below shows the furthest completed round and no team is marked a champion. A walk-forward's final cutoff is the morning of the title game, so the season's last rating snapshot precedes the final by design.

end state cutoff 2020-03-12 teams rated 354 cutoffs in the walk 81
womens 2020: AdjDE for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffs1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. Princeton 5. UConn1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. Princeton 5. UConn1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. Princeton 5. UConn1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. Princeton 5. UConn1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Princeton 4. Maryland 5. UConn1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Princeton 4. Maryland 5. UConn1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Princeton 4. Maryland 5. UConn1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. Princeton 5. UConn1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. Princeton 5. UConn1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. Princeton 5. UConn1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. UConn 4. South Carolina 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. UConn 4. South Carolina 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. UConn 4. South Carolina 5. Princeton1. Baylor 2. Maryland 3. South Carolina 4. UConn 5. Princeton
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — 81 cutoffs from 2020-01-27 to 2020-03-12. Axis spans 0.64 to 0.81. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. Series: smoothed (causal EWMA). Warm-up: show · hidden
  • Baylor
  • Maryland
  • South Carolina
  • UConn
  • Princeton
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjDE Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 Baylor Bears 0.65 81 —
2 Maryland Terrapins 0.67 81 —
3 South Carolina Gamecocks 0.67 81 —
4 UConn Huskies 0.68 81 —
5 Princeton Tigers 0.69 81 —
6 Indiana Hoosiers 0.74 81 —
7 Louisville Cardinals 0.74 81 —
8 Oregon Ducks 0.74 81 —
9 Northwestern Wildcats 0.74 81 —
10 Gonzaga Bulldogs 0.74 81 —
11 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 0.74 81 —
12 Arizona Wildcats 0.75 81 —
13 Mississippi State Bulldogs 0.75 81 —
14 Stanford Cardinal 0.76 81 —
15 South Dakota Coyotes 0.77 81 —
16 Texas A&M Aggies 0.78 81 —
17 Oregon State Beavers 0.78 81 —
18 Arizona State Sun Devils 0.78 81 —
19 NC State Wolfpack 0.78 81 —
20 Ohio State Buckeyes 0.79 81 —
21 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 0.79 81 —
22 UCLA Bruins 0.79 81 —
23 BYU Cougars 0.79 81 —
24 Oklahoma State Cowgirls 0.80 81 —
25 Duke Blue Devils 0.80 81 —

Ranked at the season's last cutoff — this season has no cutoff whose ratings saw no NCAA tournament game, best (lowest) first. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.