womens · season 2020
The season's top 100 going into the tournament, by AdjDE — the lowest values, since a defence allows points rather than scoring them — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.
The NCAA championship game for womens 2020 has no result in the store, so the Postseason column below shows the furthest completed round and no team is marked a champion. A walk-forward's final cutoff is the morning of the title game, so the season's last rating snapshot precedes the final by design.
- other ranked teams
- warm-up (shaded)
- D-I average
train_cutoff_at — 81 cutoffs from
2019-12-15 to 2020-03-12.
Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their
order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone.
Series: raw fit.
The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first
cutoff through 2020-01-26, fewer than half the field had
played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is
faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding.
Warm-up:
shown ·
hide
- Baylor
- South Carolina
- Maryland
- UConn
- Princeton
- 95 more, drawn as grey context
The top 100 going into the tournament
| # | Team | AdjDE | Cutoffs rated | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baylor Bears | 0.66 | 81 | — |
| 2 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 0.66 | 81 | — |
| 3 | Maryland Terrapins | 0.67 | 81 | — |
| 4 | UConn Huskies | 0.68 | 81 | — |
| 5 | Princeton Tigers | 0.68 | 81 | — |
| 6 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | 0.73 | 81 | — |
| 7 | Oregon Ducks | 0.74 | 81 | — |
| 8 | Northwestern Wildcats | 0.74 | 81 | — |
| 9 | Louisville Cardinals | 0.74 | 81 | — |
| 10 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.75 | 81 | — |
| 11 | Arizona Wildcats | 0.75 | 81 | — |
| 12 | Indiana Hoosiers | 0.75 | 81 | — |
| 13 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 0.75 | 81 | — |
| 14 | South Dakota Coyotes | 0.75 | 81 | — |
| 15 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.77 | 81 | — |
| 16 | Arizona State Sun Devils | 0.77 | 81 | — |
| 17 | Stanford Cardinal | 0.77 | 81 | — |
| 18 | Oregon State Beavers | 0.77 | 81 | — |
| 19 | NC State Wolfpack | 0.78 | 81 | — |
| 20 | UCLA Bruins | 0.78 | 81 | — |
| 21 | Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 0.79 | 81 | — |
| 22 | Kentucky Wildcats | 0.79 | 81 | — |
| 23 | San Diego Toreros | 0.79 | 81 | — |
| 24 | UCF Knights | 0.79 | 81 | — |
| 25 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.80 | 81 | — |
| 26 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 0.80 | 81 | — |
| 27 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.80 | 81 | — |
| 28 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.80 | 81 | — |
| 29 | BYU Cougars | 0.80 | 81 | — |
| 30 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.80 | 81 | — |
| 31 | Syracuse Orange | 0.80 | 81 | — |
| 32 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 0.80 | 81 | — |
| 33 | Virginia Cavaliers | 0.80 | 81 | — |
| 34 | Georgia Lady Bulldogs | 0.81 | 81 | — |
| 35 | Marquette Golden Eagles | 0.81 | 81 | — |
| 36 | Duke Blue Devils | 0.81 | 81 | — |
| 37 | Oklahoma State Cowgirls | 0.81 | 81 | — |
| 38 | Texas Longhorns | 0.81 | 81 | — |
| 39 | James Madison Dukes | 0.82 | 81 | — |
| 40 | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 0.82 | 81 | — |
| 41 | Purdue Boilermakers | 0.82 | 81 | — |
| 42 | Dayton Flyers | 0.82 | 81 | — |
| 43 | South Florida Bulls | 0.82 | 81 | — |
| 44 | Washington Huskies | 0.82 | 81 | — |
| 45 | Old Dominion Monarchs | 0.82 | 81 | — |
| 46 | USC Trojans | 0.82 | 81 | — |
| 47 | LSU Tigers | 0.83 | 81 | — |
| 48 | Arkansas Razorbacks | 0.83 | 81 | — |
| 49 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.83 | 81 | — |
| 50 | Butler Bulldogs | 0.83 | 81 | — |
| 51 | Robert Morris Colonials | 0.83 | 81 | — |
| 52 | Colorado Buffaloes | 0.83 | 81 | — |
| 53 | Fordham Rams | 0.84 | 81 | — |
| 54 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.84 | 81 | — |
| 55 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.84 | 81 | — |
| 56 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 0.84 | 81 | — |
| 57 | Villanova Wildcats | 0.84 | 81 | — |
| 58 | Florida State Seminoles | 0.84 | 81 | — |
| 59 | North Carolina A&T Aggies | 0.84 | 81 | — |
| 60 | VCU Rams | 0.84 | 81 | — |
| 61 | Virginia Tech Hokies | 0.85 | 81 | — |
| 62 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.85 | 81 | — |
| 63 | Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | 0.85 | 81 | — |
| 64 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.85 | 81 | — |
| 65 | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 0.85 | 81 | — |
| 66 | Ball State Cardinals | 0.85 | 81 | — |
| 67 | Southern Illinois Salukis | 0.85 | 81 | — |
| 68 | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 0.85 | 81 | — |
| 69 | Northern Iowa Panthers | 0.85 | 81 | — |
| 70 | Yale Bulldogs | 0.86 | 81 | — |
| 71 | UT Arlington Mavericks | 0.86 | 81 | — |
| 72 | Bucknell Bison | 0.86 | 81 | — |
| 73 | Pennsylvania Quakers | 0.86 | 81 | — |
| 74 | SMU Mustangs | 0.86 | 81 | — |
| 75 | Belmont Bruins | 0.86 | 81 | — |
| 76 | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | 0.86 | 81 | — |
| 77 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 0.86 | 81 | — |
| 78 | Rice Owls | 0.86 | 81 | — |
| 79 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 80 | Saint Louis Billikens | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 81 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 82 | Tulane Green Wave | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 83 | Bradley Braves | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 84 | Missouri State Lady Bears | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 85 | Drexel Dragons | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 86 | Michigan State Spartans | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 87 | Providence Friars | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 88 | Seton Hall Pirates | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 89 | Harvard Crimson | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 90 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 0.87 | 81 | — |
| 91 | UT Martin Skyhawks | 0.88 | 81 | — |
| 92 | Idaho Vandals | 0.88 | 81 | — |
| 93 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 0.88 | 81 | — |
| 94 | Boston College Eagles | 0.88 | 81 | — |
| 95 | UNLV Lady Rebels | 0.88 | 81 | — |
| 96 | Eastern Michigan Eagles | 0.89 | 81 | — |
| 97 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.89 | 81 | — |
| 98 | Montana State Bobcats | 0.89 | 81 | — |
| 99 | Charlotte 49ers | 0.89 | 81 | — |
| 100 | DePaul Blue Demons | 0.89 | 81 | — |
Ranked at the season's last cutoff — this season has no cutoff whose ratings saw no NCAA tournament game, best (lowest) first. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.