mens · season 2021
The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjME — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.
train_cutoff_at — 110 cutoffs from
2021-02-21 to 2021-04-04.
Axis spans 0.15 to 0.40.
Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their
order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone.
The shortest drawn line covers
86 of the 110 cutoffs — a team enters the ratings only
after it has played enough games, so early cutoffs have no line for it.
Warm-up:
show
· hidden
- Gonzaga
- Baylor
- Michigan
- Illinois
- Iowa
- 20 more, drawn as grey context
The top 25 going into the tournament
| # | Team | AdjME | Cutoffs rated | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | 0.36 | 97 | #1 Title game (out) |
| 2 | Baylor Bears | 0.33 | 97 | #1 Champion |
| 3 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.33 | 97 | #1 Elite 8 (out) |
| 4 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 0.32 | 97 | #1 Round of 32 (out) |
| 5 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.32 | 97 | #2 Round of 32 (out) |
| 6 | Houston Cougars | 0.31 | 97 | #2 Final Four (out) |
| 7 | Florida State Seminoles | 0.27 | 97 | #4 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 8 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.27 | 97 | #2 Round of 64 (out) |
| 9 | Colgate Raiders | 0.27 | 73 | #14 Round of 64 (out) |
| 10 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.26 | 97 | #2 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 11 | Colorado Buffaloes | 0.26 | 97 | #5 Round of 32 (out) |
| 12 | Villanova Wildcats | 0.26 | 97 | #5 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 13 | Virginia Cavaliers | 0.26 | 97 | #4 Round of 64 (out) |
| 14 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.25 | 97 | #9 Round of 32 (out) |
| 15 | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 0.24 | 95 | #8 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 16 | UConn Huskies | 0.24 | 97 | #7 Round of 64 (out) |
| 17 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.24 | 96 | #5 Round of 64 (out) |
| 18 | Arkansas Razorbacks | 0.24 | 97 | #3 Elite 8 (out) |
| 19 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.24 | 97 | #6 Round of 32 (out) |
| 20 | Purdue Boilermakers | 0.24 | 97 | #4 Round of 64 (out) |
| 21 | USC Trojans | 0.24 | 97 | #6 Elite 8 (out) |
| 22 | BYU Cougars | 0.23 | 97 | #6 Round of 64 (out) |
| 23 | Creighton Bluejays | 0.22 | 97 | #5 Sweet 16 (out) |
| 24 | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 0.22 | 90 | #9 Round of 64 (out) |
| 25 | Florida Gators | 0.22 | 97 | #7 Round of 32 (out) |
Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2021-03-18) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.