womens · season 2015

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjDE — the lowest values, since a defence allows points rather than scoring them — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.

end state cutoff 2015-03-10 teams rated 318 cutoffs in the walk 73

AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — 73 cutoffs from 2014-12-20 to 2015-03-10. Axis spans 0.53 to 0.85. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. Series: raw fit. The shortest drawn line covers 70 of the 73 cutoffs — a team enters the ratings only after it has played enough games, so early cutoffs have no line for it. The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2015-01-24, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide

Jackson State
Indiana State
UConn
UT Arlington
Long Beach State
20 more, drawn as grey context

Readout

Hover or tap a station to move this readout; it starts at the pre-tournament cutoff.

cutoff 2015-03-10 rated here 25 AdjDE pts / possession

1 Jackson State 0.542
2 Indiana State 0.601
3 UConn 0.637
4 UT Arlington 0.669
5 Long Beach State 0.707
6 Northern Illinois 0.723
7 Northern Arizona 0.724
8 South Carolina 0.729
9 Notre Dame 0.736
10 North Texas 0.744
11 Murray State 0.750
12 Middle Tennessee 0.752
13 Louisville 0.757
14 Rutgers 0.758
15 Oregon State 0.758
16 Florida State 0.761
17 Wichita State 0.763
18 Tennessee 0.768
19 Little Rock 0.770
20 Georgia 0.770
21 Duke 0.770
22 Princeton 0.771
23 George Washington 0.773
24 California 0.779
25 Nebraska 0.779

The top 25 going into the tournament

#	Team	AdjDE	Cutoffs rated	Postseason
1	Jackson State Lady Tigers	0.54	73	—
2	Indiana State Sycamores	0.60	73	—
3	UConn Huskies	0.64	73	Champion
4	UT Arlington Mavericks	0.67	73	—
5	Long Beach State Beach	0.71	73	—
6	Northern Illinois Huskies	0.72	73	—
7	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	0.72	73	—
8	South Carolina Gamecocks	0.73	73	Final Four (out)
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.74	73	Title game (out)
10	North Texas Mean Green	0.74	73	—
11	Murray State Racers	0.75	70	—
12	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	0.75	73	—
13	Louisville Cardinals	0.76	73	Sweet 16 (out)
14	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	0.76	73	Round of 32 (out)
15	Oregon State Beavers	0.76	73	Round of 32 (out)
16	Florida State Seminoles	0.76	73	Elite 8 (out)
17	Wichita State Shockers	0.76	73	Round of 64 (out)
18	Tennessee Lady Volunteers	0.77	73	Elite 8 (out)
19	Little Rock Trojans	0.77	73	Round of 32 (out)
20	Georgia Lady Bulldogs	0.77	73	—
21	Duke Blue Devils	0.77	73	Sweet 16 (out)
22	Princeton Tigers	0.77	73	Round of 32 (out)
23	George Washington Revolutionaries	0.77	73	Round of 64 (out)
24	California Golden Bears	0.78	73	Round of 32 (out)
25	Nebraska Cornhuskers	0.78	73	Round of 64 (out)

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2015-03-10) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game, best (lowest) first. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.