womens · season 2023
The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjOE — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.
train_cutoff_at — 94 cutoffs from
2022-12-10 to 2023-04-02.
Axis spans 1.03 to 1.31.
Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their
order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone.
Series: raw fit.
The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first
cutoff through 2023-01-22, fewer than half the field had
played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is
faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding.
Warm-up:
shown ·
hide
- South Carolina
- Utah
- Iowa
- Indiana
- Stanford
- 20 more, drawn as grey context
The top 25 going into the tournament
| # | Team | AdjOE | Cutoffs rated | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1.29 | 81 | Final Four (out) |
| 2 | Utah Utes | 1.26 | 81 | Sweet 16 (out) |
| 3 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 1.25 | 81 | Title game (out) |
| 4 | Indiana Hoosiers | 1.23 | 81 | Round of 32 (out) |
| 5 | Stanford Cardinal | 1.22 | 81 | Round of 32 (out) |
| 6 | LSU Tigers | 1.22 | 81 | Champion |
| 7 | UConn Huskies | 1.20 | 81 | Sweet 16 (out) |
| 8 | Virginia Tech Hokies | 1.19 | 81 | Final Four (out) |
| 9 | Villanova Wildcats | 1.18 | 81 | Sweet 16 (out) |
| 10 | Iowa State Cyclones | 1.17 | 81 | Round of 64 (out) |
| 11 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 1.17 | 81 | Play-in (out) |
| 12 | Oregon Ducks | 1.16 | 81 | — |
| 13 | Maryland Terrapins | 1.16 | 81 | Elite 8 (out) |
| 14 | Creighton Bluejays | 1.16 | 81 | Round of 64 (out) |
| 15 | Oklahoma Sooners | 1.16 | 81 | Round of 32 (out) |
| 16 | Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 1.16 | 81 | Sweet 16 (out) |
| 17 | UCLA Bruins | 1.15 | 81 | Sweet 16 (out) |
| 18 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 1.15 | 81 | Elite 8 (out) |
| 19 | Oklahoma State Cowgirls | 1.14 | 81 | Round of 64 (out) |
| 20 | South Florida Bulls | 1.14 | 81 | Round of 32 (out) |
| 21 | Florida State Seminoles | 1.14 | 81 | Round of 64 (out) |
| 22 | DePaul Blue Demons | 1.13 | 81 | — |
| 23 | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 1.13 | 81 | Round of 32 (out) |
| 24 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1.13 | 81 | Sweet 16 (out) |
| 25 | Louisville Cardinals | 1.13 | 81 | Elite 8 (out) |
Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2023-03-12) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.