cbb·system

womens · season 2015

The season's top 25 going into the tournament, by AdjME — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.

end state cutoff 2015-03-10 teams rated 318 cutoffs in the walk 91
womens 2015: AdjME for the top 25 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffs1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Baylor 4. Princeton 5. Notre Dame1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Princeton 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Maryland 5. Princeton1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Maryland 4. Baylor 5. Princeton1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Princeton 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Princeton 5. Baylor1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Princeton 4. Notre Dame 5. Baylor1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Princeton 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Princeton 4. Baylor 5. Notre Dame1. UConn 2. Princeton 3. South Carolina 4. Baylor 5. Notre Dame1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Princeton1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Baylor 4. Notre Dame 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Baylor 4. Notre Dame 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Baylor 4. Notre Dame 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Baylor 4. Notre Dame 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Baylor 4. Notre Dame 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. Baylor 3. South Carolina 4. Notre Dame 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. Notre Dame 3. Baylor 4. South Carolina 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. Notre Dame 3. South Carolina 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. Notre Dame 3. South Carolina 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. Notre Dame 3. South Carolina 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. Notre Dame 3. South Carolina 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. Notre Dame 3. South Carolina 4. Baylor 5. Maryland1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Tennessee1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Tennessee1. UConn 2. Notre Dame 3. South Carolina 4. Tennessee 5. Baylor1. UConn 2. Notre Dame 3. South Carolina 4. Baylor 5. Tennessee1. UConn 2. South Carolina 3. Notre Dame 4. Baylor 5. Tennessee1. UConn 2. Notre Dame 3. South Carolina 4. Tennessee 5. Baylor1. UConn 2. Notre Dame 3. South Carolina 4. Baylor 5. Tennessee
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — 91 cutoffs from 2015-01-26 to 2015-03-10. Axis spans 0.11 to 0.76. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. The shortest drawn line covers 71 of the 91 cutoffs — a team enters the ratings only after it has played enough games, so early cutoffs have no line for it. Warm-up: show · hidden
  • UConn
  • Notre Dame
  • South Carolina
  • Baylor
  • Tennessee
  • 20 more, drawn as grey context

The top 25 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjME Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 UConn Huskies 0.74 91 Champion
2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 0.46 91 Title game (out)
3 South Carolina Gamecocks 0.45 91 Final Four (out)
4 Baylor Bears 0.43 91 Elite 8 (out)
5 Tennessee Lady Volunteers 0.42 91 Elite 8 (out)
6 Maryland Terrapins 0.40 91 Final Four (out)
7 Princeton Tigers 0.37 91 Round of 32 (out)
8 Little Rock Trojans 0.35 91 Round of 32 (out)
9 Oregon State Beavers 0.35 91 Round of 32 (out)
10 Florida State Seminoles 0.35 91 Elite 8 (out)
11 Eastern Washington Eagles 0.33 71 —
12 Louisville Cardinals 0.33 91 Sweet 16 (out)
13 Stanford Cardinal 0.32 91 Sweet 16 (out)
14 Wichita State Shockers 0.29 91 Round of 64 (out)
15 Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 0.29 91 Round of 32 (out)
16 Indiana State Sycamores 0.29 89 —
17 Duke Blue Devils 0.29 91 Sweet 16 (out)
18 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 0.29 91 Round of 32 (out)
19 St. John's Red Storm 0.28 91 —
20 Arizona State Sun Devils 0.28 91 Sweet 16 (out)
21 Iowa Hawkeyes 0.28 91 Sweet 16 (out)
22 Texas Longhorns 0.28 91 Sweet 16 (out)
23 Ohio State Buckeyes 0.27 91 Round of 32 (out)
24 Northwestern Wildcats 0.27 91 Round of 64 (out)
25 North Carolina Tar Heels 0.27 91 Sweet 16 (out)

Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2015-03-10) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.