womens · season 2020
The season's top 100 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.
The NCAA championship game for womens 2020 has no result in the store, so the Postseason column below shows the furthest completed round and no team is marked a champion. A walk-forward's final cutoff is the morning of the title game, so the season's last rating snapshot precedes the final by design.
end state
cutoff 2020-03-12
teams rated
354
cutoffs in the walk
81
AdjPace (possessions per game)
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2020
- other ranked teams
- warm-up (shaded)
- D-I average
train_cutoff_at — 81 cutoffs from
2019-12-15 to 2020-03-12.
Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their
order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone.
Series: smoothed (causal EWMA).
The shortest drawn line covers
70 of the 81 cutoffs — a team enters the ratings only
after it has played enough games, so early cutoffs have no line for it.
The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first
cutoff through 2020-01-26, fewer than half the field had
played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is
faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding.
Warm-up:
shown ·
hide
- Troy
- Sam Houston
- Denver
- Oklahoma
- DePaul
- 95 more, drawn as grey context
The top 100 going into the tournament
| # | Team | AdjPace | Cutoffs rated | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Troy Trojans | 79.24 | 81 | — |
| 2 | Sam Houston Bearkats | 78.32 | 81 | — |
| 3 | Denver Pioneers | 77.53 | 81 | — |
| 4 | Oklahoma Sooners | 77.48 | 81 | — |
| 5 | DePaul Blue Demons | 77.41 | 81 | — |
| 6 | Western Illinois Leathernecks | 77.31 | 81 | — |
| 7 | Howard Bison | 77.30 | 81 | — |
| 8 | New Mexico Lobos | 77.26 | 81 | — |
| 9 | Texas Southern Tigers | 76.78 | 81 | — |
| 10 | Alcorn State Lady Braves | 76.71 | 81 | — |
| 11 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 76.28 | 81 | — |
| 12 | California Baptist Lancers | 76.15 | 81 | — |
| 13 | Queens University Royals | 76.12 | 70 | — |
| 14 | Chicago State Cougars | 76.08 | 81 | — |
| 15 | Sacramento State Hornets | 75.58 | 81 | — |
| 16 | San José State Spartans | 75.57 | 81 | — |
| 17 | Texas Tech Lady Raiders | 75.50 | 81 | — |
| 18 | McNeese Cowgirls | 75.46 | 81 | — |
| 19 | Northern Illinois Huskies | 75.26 | 81 | — |
| 20 | Saint Peter's Peacocks | 75.25 | 81 | — |
| 21 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 75.24 | 81 | — |
| 22 | Drake Bulldogs | 75.12 | 81 | — |
| 23 | Penn State Lady Lions | 75.01 | 81 | — |
| 24 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 74.90 | 81 | — |
| 25 | Mississippi Valley State Devilettes | 74.61 | 81 | — |
| 26 | Arkansas Razorbacks | 74.56 | 81 | — |
| 27 | Maryland Terrapins | 74.54 | 81 | — |
| 28 | Charleston Cougars | 74.42 | 81 | — |
| 29 | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 74.23 | 81 | — |
| 30 | North Carolina Central Eagles | 74.21 | 81 | — |
| 31 | Niagara Purple Eagles | 74.16 | 81 | — |
| 32 | Florida Atlantic Owls | 74.08 | 81 | — |
| 33 | North Carolina A&T Aggies | 74.06 | 81 | — |
| 34 | Miami (OH) RedHawks | 74.06 | 81 | — |
| 35 | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 74.05 | 81 | — |
| 36 | Seattle U Redhawks | 74.04 | 81 | — |
| 37 | Georgia Southern Eagles | 74.04 | 81 | — |
| 38 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 74.03 | 81 | — |
| 39 | Kansas Jayhawks | 74.00 | 81 | — |
| 40 | Boston College Eagles | 73.96 | 81 | — |
| 41 | Army Black Knights | 73.83 | 81 | — |
| 42 | Florida A&M Rattlers | 73.82 | 81 | — |
| 43 | Jackson State Lady Tigers | 73.81 | 81 | — |
| 44 | LSU New Orleans Privateers | 73.76 | 81 | — |
| 45 | UIC Flames | 73.73 | 81 | — |
| 46 | UTEP Miners | 73.72 | 81 | — |
| 47 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 73.70 | 81 | — |
| 48 | Jacksonville Dolphins | 73.60 | 81 | — |
| 49 | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | 73.50 | 81 | — |
| 50 | North Alabama Lions | 73.44 | 81 | — |
| 51 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 73.43 | 81 | — |
| 52 | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | 73.35 | 81 | — |
| 53 | Duquesne Dukes | 73.21 | 81 | — |
| 54 | Towson Tigers | 73.15 | 81 | — |
| 55 | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 72.88 | 81 | — |
| 56 | Longwood Lancers | 72.78 | 81 | — |
| 57 | Colgate Raiders | 72.75 | 81 | — |
| 58 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 72.73 | 81 | — |
| 59 | Central Michigan Chippewas | 72.72 | 81 | — |
| 60 | Pacific Tigers | 72.70 | 81 | — |
| 61 | Ball State Cardinals | 72.70 | 81 | — |
| 62 | Murray State Racers | 72.68 | 81 | — |
| 63 | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 72.65 | 81 | — |
| 64 | Delaware State Hornets | 72.55 | 81 | — |
| 65 | Eastern Michigan Eagles | 72.52 | 81 | — |
| 66 | La Salle Explorers | 72.44 | 81 | — |
| 67 | Syracuse Orange | 72.43 | 81 | — |
| 68 | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 72.42 | 81 | — |
| 69 | Bowling Green Falcons | 72.40 | 81 | — |
| 70 | Ohio Bobcats | 72.39 | 81 | — |
| 71 | Columbia Lions | 72.37 | 81 | — |
| 72 | Texas Longhorns | 72.35 | 81 | — |
| 73 | High Point Panthers | 72.34 | 81 | — |
| 74 | Cleveland State Vikings | 72.31 | 81 | — |
| 75 | Long Island University Sharks | 72.30 | 81 | — |
| 76 | South Alabama Jaguars | 72.22 | 81 | — |
| 77 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 72.13 | 81 | — |
| 78 | Boise State Broncos | 72.13 | 81 | — |
| 79 | TCU Horned Frogs | 72.08 | 81 | — |
| 80 | Weber State Wildcats | 72.05 | 81 | — |
| 81 | Morehead State Eagles | 72.04 | 81 | — |
| 82 | Washington Huskies | 72.03 | 81 | — |
| 83 | Montana State Bobcats | 72.00 | 81 | — |
| 84 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 71.95 | 81 | — |
| 85 | Houston Cougars | 71.95 | 81 | — |
| 86 | Detroit Mercy Titans | 71.95 | 81 | — |
| 87 | Saint Mary's Gaels | 71.92 | 81 | — |
| 88 | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 71.90 | 81 | — |
| 89 | Brown Bears | 71.85 | 81 | — |
| 90 | Grambling Lady Tigers | 71.85 | 81 | — |
| 91 | Mercer Bears | 71.84 | 81 | — |
| 92 | UTSA Roadrunners | 71.84 | 81 | — |
| 93 | UT Martin Skyhawks | 71.82 | 81 | — |
| 94 | Kansas State Wildcats | 71.80 | 81 | — |
| 95 | Evansville Purple Aces | 71.76 | 81 | — |
| 96 | Arkansas State Red Wolves | 71.69 | 81 | — |
| 97 | Fresno State Bulldogs | 71.68 | 81 | — |
| 98 | California Golden Bears | 71.68 | 81 | — |
| 99 | Nicholls Colonels | 71.68 | 81 | — |
| 100 | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 71.67 | 81 | — |
Ranked at the season's last cutoff — this season has no cutoff whose ratings saw no NCAA tournament game. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.