womens · season 2025
The season's top 100 going into the tournament, by AdjPace — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are possessions per game.
- other ranked teams
- NCAA tournament starts
- warm-up (shaded)
- D-I average
train_cutoff_at — 100 cutoffs from
2024-12-07 to 2025-04-06.
Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their
order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone.
Series: smoothed (causal EWMA).
The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first
cutoff through 2025-01-24, fewer than half the field had
played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is
faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding.
Warm-up:
shown ·
hide
- Oklahoma
- North Carolina Central
- Niagara
- Tennessee
- Oral Roberts
- 95 more, drawn as grey context
The top 100 going into the tournament
| # | Team | AdjPace | Cutoffs rated | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma Sooners | 78.68 | 86 | Sweet 16 (out) |
| 2 | North Carolina Central Eagles | 77.77 | 86 | — |
| 3 | Niagara Purple Eagles | 76.89 | 86 | — |
| 4 | Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 76.36 | 86 | Sweet 16 (out) |
| 5 | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 76.33 | 86 | — |
| 6 | Troy Trojans | 76.27 | 86 | — |
| 7 | Florida State Seminoles | 75.21 | 86 | Round of 32 (out) |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 75.09 | 86 | Sweet 16 (out) |
| 9 | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 74.84 | 86 | — |
| 10 | Murray State Racers | 74.79 | 86 | Round of 64 (out) |
| 11 | LSU New Orleans Privateers | 74.30 | 86 | — |
| 12 | Grambling Lady Tigers | 74.20 | 86 | — |
| 13 | Chicago State Cougars | 74.08 | 86 | — |
| 14 | Arkansas State Red Wolves | 73.95 | 86 | Round of 64 (out) |
| 15 | Bellarmine Knights | 73.83 | 86 | — |
| 16 | Utah State Aggies | 73.81 | 86 | — |
| 17 | Indiana State Sycamores | 73.80 | 86 | — |
| 18 | Duquesne Dukes | 73.80 | 86 | — |
| 19 | LSU Tigers | 73.67 | 86 | Elite 8 (out) |
| 20 | Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | 73.66 | 86 | Round of 64 (out) |
| 21 | Tulane Green Wave | 73.50 | 86 | — |
| 22 | USC Trojans | 73.44 | 86 | Elite 8 (out) |
| 23 | UT Arlington Mavericks | 73.40 | 86 | — |
| 24 | Michigan State Spartans | 73.35 | 86 | Round of 32 (out) |
| 25 | Cal State Northridge Matadors | 73.35 | 86 | — |
| 26 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 73.32 | 86 | Round of 32 (out) |
| 27 | Long Beach State Beach | 73.31 | 86 | — |
| 28 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 73.25 | 86 | Round of 64 (out) |
| 29 | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | 73.02 | 86 | — |
| 30 | Evansville Purple Aces | 72.86 | 86 | — |
| 31 | Saint Louis Billikens | 72.85 | 86 | — |
| 32 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 72.67 | 86 | — |
| 33 | Longwood Lancers | 72.67 | 86 | — |
| 34 | Mercyhurst Lakers | 72.62 | 86 | — |
| 35 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 72.62 | 86 | — |
| 36 | Mississippi Valley State Devilettes | 72.61 | 86 | — |
| 37 | Penn State Lady Lions | 72.57 | 86 | — |
| 38 | Pacific Tigers | 72.53 | 86 | — |
| 39 | Omaha Mavericks | 72.53 | 86 | — |
| 40 | Boston College Eagles | 72.46 | 86 | — |
| 41 | Texas Southern Tigers | 72.44 | 86 | — |
| 42 | Sam Houston Bearkats | 72.38 | 86 | — |
| 43 | New Mexico Lobos | 72.37 | 86 | — |
| 44 | Morehead State Eagles | 72.34 | 86 | — |
| 45 | McNeese Cowgirls | 72.21 | 86 | — |
| 46 | Maryland Terrapins | 72.19 | 86 | Sweet 16 (out) |
| 47 | Eastern Washington Eagles | 72.07 | 86 | — |
| 48 | Arizona State Sun Devils | 72.07 | 86 | — |
| 49 | Detroit Mercy Titans | 72.00 | 86 | — |
| 50 | Florida Gators | 72.00 | 86 | — |
| 51 | Utah Tech Trailblazers | 71.95 | 86 | — |
| 52 | Memphis Tigers | 71.94 | 86 | — |
| 53 | Jacksonville Dolphins | 71.80 | 86 | — |
| 54 | Arkansas Razorbacks | 71.73 | 86 | — |
| 55 | NC State Wolfpack | 71.55 | 86 | Sweet 16 (out) |
| 56 | Furman Paladins | 71.52 | 86 | — |
| 57 | Drake Bulldogs | 71.51 | 86 | — |
| 58 | Portland Pilots | 71.51 | 86 | — |
| 59 | Northwestern Wildcats | 71.45 | 86 | — |
| 60 | Navy Midshipmen | 71.37 | 86 | — |
| 61 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 71.36 | 86 | — |
| 62 | San José State Spartans | 71.33 | 86 | — |
| 63 | Seattle U Redhawks | 71.29 | 86 | — |
| 64 | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 71.28 | 86 | — |
| 65 | Charleston Cougars | 71.25 | 86 | — |
| 66 | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 71.23 | 86 | — |
| 67 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 71.23 | 86 | Round of 32 (out) |
| 68 | Wichita State Shockers | 71.21 | 86 | — |
| 69 | South Alabama Jaguars | 71.18 | 86 | — |
| 70 | DePaul Blue Demons | 71.17 | 86 | — |
| 71 | North Texas Mean Green | 71.15 | 86 | — |
| 72 | Michigan Wolverines | 71.14 | 86 | Round of 32 (out) |
| 73 | Queens University Royals | 71.14 | 86 | — |
| 74 | Baylor Bears | 71.08 | 86 | Round of 32 (out) |
| 75 | Buffalo Bulls | 71.04 | 86 | — |
| 76 | Central Michigan Chippewas | 71.01 | 86 | — |
| 77 | James Madison Dukes | 70.98 | 86 | — |
| 78 | William & Mary Tribe | 70.98 | 86 | Round of 64 (out) |
| 79 | Syracuse Orange | 70.97 | 86 | — |
| 80 | Virginia Tech Hokies | 70.96 | 86 | — |
| 81 | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | 70.94 | 86 | — |
| 82 | Northern Illinois Huskies | 70.92 | 86 | — |
| 83 | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 70.91 | 86 | — |
| 84 | UAB Blazers | 70.87 | 86 | — |
| 85 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 70.87 | 86 | — |
| 86 | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 70.85 | 86 | — |
| 87 | BYU Cougars | 70.80 | 86 | — |
| 88 | Samford Bulldogs | 70.79 | 86 | — |
| 89 | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 70.77 | 86 | — |
| 90 | Northern Iowa Panthers | 70.74 | 86 | — |
| 91 | Oklahoma State Cowgirls | 70.68 | 86 | Round of 64 (out) |
| 92 | Iowa State Cyclones | 70.67 | 86 | Round of 64 (out) |
| 93 | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | 70.67 | 86 | — |
| 94 | California Baptist Lancers | 70.60 | 86 | — |
| 95 | Temple Owls | 70.58 | 86 | — |
| 96 | Utah Valley Wolverines | 70.53 | 86 | — |
| 97 | UC San Diego Tritons | 70.52 | 86 | Play-in (out) |
| 98 | Virginia Cavaliers | 70.50 | 86 | — |
| 99 | Georgia State Panthers | 70.49 | 86 | — |
| 100 | West Georgia Wolves | 70.40 | 86 | — |
Ranked and valued at the pre-tournament cutoff (2025-03-16) — the last one whose ratings had seen no NCAA tournament game. This is the rating each team carried into the bracket the Postseason column reports, so the two are read on the same information. Hover or click the chart for any other cutoff. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.