cbb·system

womens · season 2020

The season's top 100 going into the tournament, by AdjME — each traced across every cutoff of the season's walk. One season is one fit, so these lines share one time axis; a team that only entered the ratings later starts where it entered, not at zero. Values are points per possession.

The NCAA championship game for womens 2020 has no result in the store, so the Postseason column below shows the furthest completed round and no team is marked a champion. A walk-forward's final cutoff is the morning of the title game, so the season's last rating snapshot precedes the final by design.

end state cutoff 2020-03-12 teams rated 354 cutoffs in the walk 81
AdjME (points per possession)
womens 2020: AdjME for the top 100 teams across the season's walk-forward cutoffsDec 15, 2019 1. Oregon 0.58 2. Baylor 0.54 3. UConn 0.51 4. Maryland 0.49 5. Indiana 0.48Dec 18, 2019 1. UConn 0.55 2. Oregon 0.54 3. Baylor 0.53 4. South Carolina 0.49 5. Maryland 0.48Dec 20, 2019 1. Baylor 0.58 2. South Carolina 0.53 3. UConn 0.53 4. Oregon 0.52 5. Maryland 0.52Dec 21, 2019 1. Baylor 0.59 2. South Carolina 0.53 3. Maryland 0.52 4. Oregon 0.50 5. UConn 0.49Dec 22, 2019 1. Baylor 0.59 2. Maryland 0.55 3. Oregon 0.53 4. South Carolina 0.53 5. UConn 0.50Dec 29, 2019 1. Baylor 0.59 2. Oregon 0.55 3. UConn 0.54 4. South Carolina 0.52 5. Maryland 0.51Dec 30, 2019 1. Baylor 0.56 2. Maryland 0.54 3. UConn 0.54 4. South Carolina 0.53 5. Oregon 0.51Dec 31, 2019 1. UConn 0.54 2. Baylor 0.54 3. Maryland 0.54 4. Oregon 0.50 5. South Carolina 0.49Jan 02, 2020 1. Baylor 0.57 2. Oregon 0.53 3. UConn 0.53 4. South Carolina 0.52 5. Maryland 0.47Jan 03, 2020 1. South Carolina 0.55 2. Baylor 0.54 3. UConn 0.52 4. Maryland 0.51 5. Oregon 0.47Jan 05, 2020 1. Oregon 0.57 2. Baylor 0.55 3. South Carolina 0.51 4. UConn 0.50 5. Maryland 0.48Jan 05, 2020 1. Oregon 0.55 2. Baylor 0.55 3. South Carolina 0.53 4. UConn 0.53 5. Maryland 0.48Jan 07, 2020 1. Oregon 0.56 2. South Carolina 0.53 3. Baylor 0.53 4. UConn 0.52 5. Maryland 0.46Jan 09, 2020 1. Oregon 0.58 2. Baylor 0.53 3. UConn 0.53 4. South Carolina 0.52 5. Maryland 0.46Jan 10, 2020 1. Oregon 0.56 2. Baylor 0.56 3. South Carolina 0.50 4. UConn 0.50 5. Maryland 0.46Jan 12, 2020 1. Oregon 0.55 2. Baylor 0.54 3. South Carolina 0.52 4. UConn 0.51 5. Maryland 0.44Jan 14, 2020 1. Baylor 0.59 2. Oregon 0.54 3. South Carolina 0.52 4. UConn 0.50 5. Maryland 0.47Jan 15, 2020 1. Baylor 0.59 2. Oregon 0.53 3. South Carolina 0.53 4. UConn 0.50 5. Maryland 0.48Jan 16, 2020 1. Baylor 0.60 2. Oregon 0.54 3. South Carolina 0.53 4. UConn 0.51 5. Maryland 0.48Jan 18, 2020 1. Baylor 0.60 2. Oregon 0.55 3. South Carolina 0.54 4. Maryland 0.49 5. UConn 0.48Jan 19, 2020 1. Baylor 0.60 2. Oregon 0.55 3. South Carolina 0.55 4. Maryland 0.49 5. UConn 0.49Jan 19, 2020 1. Baylor 0.61 2. Oregon 0.58 3. South Carolina 0.53 4. UConn 0.49 5. Maryland 0.48Jan 22, 2020 1. Baylor 0.60 2. Oregon 0.58 3. South Carolina 0.53 4. UConn 0.50 5. Maryland 0.46Jan 23, 2020 1. Baylor 0.61 2. Oregon 0.59 3. South Carolina 0.52 4. UConn 0.50 5. Maryland 0.47Jan 25, 2020 1. Baylor 0.60 2. Oregon 0.57 3. South Carolina 0.53 4. UConn 0.50 5. Maryland 0.46Jan 26, 2020 1. Oregon 0.59 2. Baylor 0.58 3. South Carolina 0.52 4. UConn 0.49 5. Mississippi State 0.46Jan 27, 2020 1. Baylor 0.58 2. Oregon 0.56 3. South Carolina 0.51 4. UConn 0.47 5. Maryland 0.45Jan 29, 2020 1. Baylor 0.57 2. Oregon 0.56 3. South Carolina 0.53 4. UConn 0.48 5. Maryland 0.44Jan 30, 2020 1. Baylor 0.56 2. Oregon 0.55 3. South Carolina 0.54 4. UConn 0.49 5. Maryland 0.45Jan 31, 2020 1. Baylor 0.59 2. Oregon 0.57 3. South Carolina 0.54 4. UConn 0.50 5. Maryland 0.49Feb 02, 2020 1. Oregon 0.57 2. Baylor 0.56 3. South Carolina 0.55 4. UConn 0.48 5. Maryland 0.47Feb 02, 2020 1. Oregon 0.59 2. Baylor 0.58 3. South Carolina 0.54 4. UConn 0.50 5. Maryland 0.49Feb 04, 2020 1. Oregon 0.60 2. Baylor 0.57 3. South Carolina 0.54 4. Maryland 0.49 5. UConn 0.48Feb 06, 2020 1. Oregon 0.60 2. Baylor 0.56 3. South Carolina 0.55 4. UConn 0.50 5. Maryland 0.48Feb 07, 2020 1. Oregon 0.60 2. Baylor 0.56 3. South Carolina 0.56 4. Maryland 0.50 5. UConn 0.47Feb 08, 2020 1. Oregon 0.60 2. Baylor 0.57 3. South Carolina 0.56 4. UConn 0.49 5. Maryland 0.48Feb 09, 2020 1. Oregon 0.61 2. Baylor 0.56 3. South Carolina 0.56 4. Maryland 0.49 5. UConn 0.49Feb 11, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. South Carolina 0.56 3. Baylor 0.56 4. Maryland 0.50 5. UConn 0.48Feb 13, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. South Carolina 0.57 3. Baylor 0.56 4. Maryland 0.50 5. UConn 0.48Feb 14, 2020 1. Oregon 0.61 2. Baylor 0.56 3. South Carolina 0.55 4. Maryland 0.50 5. UConn 0.48Feb 15, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. South Carolina 0.56 3. Baylor 0.56 4. Maryland 0.51 5. UConn 0.48Feb 16, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. South Carolina 0.56 3. Baylor 0.56 4. Maryland 0.49 5. UConn 0.48Feb 18, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. Baylor 0.58 3. South Carolina 0.57 4. Maryland 0.52 5. UConn 0.49Feb 19, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. South Carolina 0.56 3. Baylor 0.55 4. Maryland 0.50 5. UConn 0.48Feb 22, 2020 1. Oregon 0.61 2. South Carolina 0.56 3. Baylor 0.55 4. Maryland 0.50 5. UConn 0.49Feb 23, 2020 1. Oregon 0.60 2. South Carolina 0.57 3. Baylor 0.56 4. Maryland 0.51 5. UConn 0.49Feb 23, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. Baylor 0.55 3. South Carolina 0.55 4. Maryland 0.52 5. UConn 0.49Feb 26, 2020 1. Oregon 0.63 2. Baylor 0.55 3. South Carolina 0.55 4. Maryland 0.51 5. UConn 0.48Feb 27, 2020 1. Oregon 0.61 2. Baylor 0.56 3. South Carolina 0.55 4. Maryland 0.53 5. UConn 0.49Feb 28, 2020 1. Oregon 0.61 2. Baylor 0.55 3. South Carolina 0.55 4. Maryland 0.52 5. UConn 0.49Mar 01, 2020 1. Oregon 0.61 2. Baylor 0.57 3. South Carolina 0.56 4. Maryland 0.53 5. UConn 0.52Mar 02, 2020 1. Oregon 0.61 2. South Carolina 0.56 3. Baylor 0.56 4. Maryland 0.54 5. UConn 0.50Mar 04, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. South Carolina 0.56 3. Maryland 0.56 4. Baylor 0.56 5. UConn 0.52Mar 05, 2020 1. Oregon 0.61 2. Baylor 0.57 3. South Carolina 0.56 4. Maryland 0.55 5. UConn 0.52Mar 06, 2020 1. Oregon 0.61 2. South Carolina 0.56 3. Baylor 0.55 4. Maryland 0.54 5. UConn 0.53Mar 08, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. South Carolina 0.56 3. Baylor 0.56 4. Maryland 0.52 5. UConn 0.52Mar 09, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. Baylor 0.57 3. South Carolina 0.56 4. Maryland 0.53 5. UConn 0.52Mar 10, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. South Carolina 0.56 3. UConn 0.55 4. Baylor 0.54 5. Maryland 0.53Mar 12, 2020 1. Oregon 0.63 2. South Carolina 0.56 3. Baylor 0.55 4. Maryland 0.54 5. UConn 0.54Mar 12, 2020 1. Oregon 0.62 2. South Carolina 0.58 3. Maryland 0.54 4. Baylor 0.53 5. UConn 0.51
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2020
  • other ranked teams
  • warm-up (shaded)
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — 81 cutoffs from 2019-12-15 to 2020-03-12. Hover or tap the chart to name the teams at that point and their order — every line carries its own hit area, so nothing is read off its color alone. Series: raw fit. The faded lead-in on the left is the warm-up: from the season's first cutoff through 2020-01-26, fewer than half the field had played 18 games, where a rating (a mean) has not yet settled. It is faded, not cut — the burn-in is the finding. Warm-up: shown · hide
  • Oregon
  • South Carolina
  • Maryland
  • Baylor
  • UConn
  • 95 more, drawn as grey context

The top 100 going into the tournament

#TeamAdjME Cutoffs ratedPostseason
1 Oregon Ducks 0.62 81 —
2 South Carolina Gamecocks 0.58 81 —
3 Maryland Terrapins 0.54 81 —
4 Baylor Bears 0.53 81 —
5 UConn Huskies 0.51 81 —
6 Mississippi State Bulldogs 0.41 81 —
7 Oregon State Beavers 0.39 81 —
8 Stanford Cardinal 0.39 81 —
9 South Dakota Coyotes 0.38 81 —
10 Indiana Hoosiers 0.37 81 —
11 Northwestern Wildcats 0.37 81 —
12 Louisville Cardinals 0.37 81 —
13 Arkansas Razorbacks 0.36 81 —
14 Princeton Tigers 0.36 81 —
15 UCLA Bruins 0.36 81 —
16 NC State Wolfpack 0.36 81 —
17 Texas A&M Aggies 0.34 81 —
18 Arizona Wildcats 0.34 81 —
19 Florida State Seminoles 0.32 81 —
20 Iowa Hawkeyes 0.32 81 —
21 Gonzaga Bulldogs 0.32 81 —
22 Kentucky Wildcats 0.31 81 —
23 Arizona State Sun Devils 0.30 81 —
24 Michigan Wolverines 0.30 81 —
25 Ohio State Buckeyes 0.29 81 —
26 DePaul Blue Demons 0.27 81 —
27 Iowa State Cyclones 0.27 81 —
28 Tennessee Lady Volunteers 0.26 81 —
29 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 0.26 81 —
30 Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 0.26 81 —
31 Missouri State Lady Bears 0.25 81 —
32 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 0.25 81 —
33 TCU Horned Frogs 0.25 81 —
34 Marquette Golden Eagles 0.24 81 —
35 Duke Blue Devils 0.24 81 —
36 Drake Bulldogs 0.24 81 —
37 James Madison Dukes 0.23 81 —
38 Alabama Crimson Tide 0.23 81 —
39 UCF Knights 0.22 81 —
40 Syracuse Orange 0.22 81 —
41 LSU Tigers 0.22 81 —
42 Virginia Tech Hokies 0.22 81 —
43 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 0.22 81 —
44 Nebraska Cornhuskers 0.22 81 —
45 Kansas State Wildcats 0.21 81 —
46 Boston College Eagles 0.21 81 —
47 Texas Longhorns 0.21 81 —
48 Cincinnati Bearcats 0.20 81 —
49 USC Trojans 0.20 81 —
50 Purdue Boilermakers 0.20 81 —
51 Virginia Cavaliers 0.19 81 —
52 Washington Huskies 0.19 81 —
53 Oklahoma State Cowgirls 0.19 81 —
54 South Florida Bulls 0.19 81 —
55 Old Dominion Monarchs 0.19 81 —
56 Seton Hall Pirates 0.19 81 —
57 Texas Tech Lady Raiders 0.18 81 —
58 North Carolina Tar Heels 0.18 81 —
59 Minnesota Golden Gophers 0.18 81 —
60 West Virginia Mountaineers 0.18 81 —
61 IU Indianapolis Jaguars 0.18 81 —
62 St. John's Red Storm 0.18 81 —
63 Creighton Bluejays 0.18 81 —
64 Washington State Cougars 0.18 81 —
65 Michigan State Spartans 0.17 81 —
66 Colorado Buffaloes 0.17 81 —
67 Pennsylvania Quakers 0.16 81 —
68 Northern Iowa Panthers 0.16 81 —
69 Utah Utes 0.16 81 —
70 Dayton Flyers 0.15 81 —
71 Georgia Lady Bulldogs 0.15 81 —
72 Montana State Bobcats 0.15 81 —
73 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 0.15 81 —
74 Villanova Wildcats 0.14 81 —
75 California Golden Bears 0.14 81 —
76 Southern Illinois Salukis 0.14 81 —
77 Bradley Braves 0.14 81 —
78 Rice Owls 0.14 81 —
79 Miami Hurricanes 0.14 81 —
80 Western Kentucky Lady Toppers 0.14 81 —
81 Oklahoma Sooners 0.13 81 —
82 Yale Bulldogs 0.13 81 —
83 UAB Blazers 0.13 81 —
84 Bucknell Bison 0.13 81 —
85 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 0.13 81 —
86 BYU Cougars 0.13 81 —
87 Vanderbilt Commodores 0.12 81 —
88 Saint Louis Billikens 0.12 81 —
89 Wisconsin Badgers 0.12 81 —
90 Ohio Bobcats 0.12 81 —
91 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 0.11 81 —
92 Missouri Tigers 0.11 81 —
93 Auburn Tigers 0.11 81 —
94 Marist Red Foxes 0.11 81 —
95 Fordham Rams 0.11 81 —
96 Illinois State Redbirds 0.11 81 —
97 Butler Bulldogs 0.11 81 —
98 Portland Pilots 0.11 81 —
99 Boise State Broncos 0.10 81 —
100 Fresno State Bulldogs 0.10 81 —

Ranked at the season's last cutoff — this season has no cutoff whose ratings saw no NCAA tournament game. A team's value is blank when it had not yet been rated at that cutoff; a line begins where a team entered the ratings, so early-season lines are shorter, not missing.